APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

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Expand view Topic review: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Beyond » Tue May 01, 2012 12:00 pm

Oh, i musta hada brain freeze. I forgetted about Yogi. All those goodies in the pic-a-nic baskets tends to carry him through anything. :chomp: :yes:

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by neufer » Tue May 01, 2012 4:37 am

Beyond wrote:
neufer wrote:
Art (who's been described at various times as impudent, bad, foul-mouthed,
ugly, dirty and a vagrant deserving of a stint in the House of Correction)
No.... really?? How do you Bear up under all that?
I'm smarter than the average bear.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Impersonal Wog » Tue May 01, 2012 12:45 am

neufer wrote:[Art (who's been described at various times as impudent, bad, foul-mouthed, ugly, dirty and a vagrant deserving of a stint in the House of Correction) Neuendorffer
If I were you I'd just have quoted Isaac Asimov - "People who think they know everything are a great annoyance to those of us who do."

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Beyond » Mon Apr 30, 2012 11:11 pm

neufer wrote:Art (who's been described at various times as impudent, bad, foul-mouthed, ugly, dirty and a vagrant deserving of a stint in the House of Correction)
No.... really?? How do you Bear up under all that?

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by neufer » Mon Apr 30, 2012 5:16 pm

Chris Peterson wrote:
I think it's very likely that the whole concept of a habitable zone is simplistic. We have found other places in our own solar system, well outside of the habitable zone, where life could exist. It's also plausible that a tidally locked planet could be a better place for life to develop and to evolve than a rotating planet.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Story_of_the_Three_Bears wrote:
<<"The Story of the Three Bears" is a fairy tale first recorded in narrative form by British author and poet Robert Southey, and first published anonymously in a volume of his writings in 1837. In Southey's tale, three anthropomorphic bears – "a Little, Small, Wee Bear, a Middle-sized Bear, and a Great, Huge Bear" – live together in a house in the woods. Southey describes them as very good-natured, trusting, harmless, tidy, and hospitable. Each bear has his own porridge bowl, chair, and bed. One day they take a walk in the woods while their porridge cools. An old woman (who is described at various points in the story as impudent, bad, foul-mouthed, ugly, dirty and a vagrant deserving of a stint in the House of Correction) discovers the bears' dwelling. She looks through a window, peeps through the keyhole, and lifts the latch. Assured that no one is home, she walks in. The old woman eats the Wee Bear's porridge, then settles into his chair and breaks it. Prowling about, she finds the bears' beds and falls asleep in Wee Bear's bed. The climax of the tale is reached when the bears return. Wee Bear finds the old woman in his bed and cries, "Somebody has been lying in my bed, – and here she is!" The old woman starts up, jumps from the window, and runs away never to be seen again.

Southey was telling [this old folk tale] to others as early as September 1813, and in 1831 Eleanor Mure versified the tale and presented it to her nephew Horace Broke as a birthday gift. Southey and Mure differ in details. Southey's bears have porridge but Mure's have milk; Southey's old woman has no motive for entering the house but Mure's old woman is piqued when her courtesy visit is rebuffed; Southey's old woman runs away when discovered, but Mure's old woman is impaled on the steeple of St Paul's Cathedral.

Joseph Cundall transformed the antagonist from an ugly old woman to a pretty little girl in his Treasury of Pleasure Books for Young Children. He explained his reasons for doing so in a dedicatory letter to his children, dated November 1849, which was inserted at the beginning of the book: The "Story of the Three Bears" is a very old Nursery Tale, but it was never so well told as by the great poet Southey, whose version I have (with permission) given you, only I have made the intruder a little girl instead of an old woman. This I did because I found that the tale is better known with Silver-Hair, and because there are so many other stories of old women.>>
Art (who's been described at various times as impudent, bad, foul-mouthed, ugly, dirty and a vagrant deserving of a stint in the House of Correction) Neuendorffer

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Chris Peterson » Mon Apr 30, 2012 4:40 am

Ann wrote:The point I was trying to make is that an M-type star has its habitable zone very close to itself.
I think it's very likely that the whole concept of a habitable zone is simplistic. We have found other places in our own solar system, well outside of the habitable zone, where life could exist. It's also plausible that a tidally locked planet could be a better place for life to develop and to evolve than a rotating planet.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Ann » Mon Apr 30, 2012 4:20 am

nstahl wrote:
Ann wrote:... If M-type red dwarfs are equally good hosts for life as G-type stars like the Sun, then we have indeed beaten the odds by being in orbit around a G-type stars like the Sun instead of an M-type red dwarf like Gliese 876. I think it is just too improbable that an unusual star like the Sun would be our star, instead of a "dime a dozen" star like Gliese 876, if both are equally good hosts for life. ...
That's not at all how I see it. Life clearly developed here, and if you rule out panspermia and seeding by aliens, life arose here. Since it happened here I have no problem imagining it's happened in a lot of similar situations. We don't know enough about conditions in which life can arise and exist to say whether it can happen on red dwarf planets or not, but if it can then surely there are scads of red dwarf planets with life. And in no way does life existing here rule out life existing around a red dwarf; in fact I see no way in which life existing here could impact the probability of life existing around a red dwarf. They are independent events, at least for practical purposes.
The point I was trying to make is that an M-type star has its habitable zone very close to itself. Remember that the the heat and light that a star emits is not linearly proportional to its mass. Proxima Centauri, the very nearest star apart from the Sun, has a mass about one tenth that of the Sun, but its visual light output is about one part in eighteen thousand that of the Sun. It does a bit better when it comes to infrared light, but even there it only produces one part in 600 that of the Sun.

Conclusion? In order to receive enough heat from Proxima Centauri, a planet would have to cosy up very close to that star. But if the planet was so close to Proxima Centauri, the planet would feel the gravity of its red dwarf sun much, much more than we feel the gravity of the Sun. Remember that while Proxima only produces one part in 600 the heat of the Sun, it holds one tenth the mass of the Sun.

The gravity of Proxima Centauri would cause the planets inside its habitable zone to become tidally locked, or at the very, very least to rotate extremely slowly. That might lead to very strange weather on that planet.

I also think that Proxima Centauri has had a couple of bright ultraviolet flares from its "surface". A planet that orbited very close to Proxima Centauri would be strongly affected by those flares.

My point is that any star is dangerous, so that you don't want to orbit too close to it. But a red dwarf star has such a small habitable zone so close to itself that a planet inside the red dwarf's habitable zone will have to orbit very close to that star.

Like Chris said, we don't know how life elsewhere might adapt to its conditions. It could well be that alien life forms might thrive in living conditions that seem absolutely impossible to us.

Nevertheless, I remain unconvinced that life just adapts to whatever conditions it meets. Perhaps bacterial life can adapt to an incredibly wide range of circumstances, but I doubt that complex life can repeat that trick. Consider Mars. Very many scientists seem to believe that there might be bacterial life on Mars. That is because we can see that there is water on Mars, and we have good reasons to believe that underground water on Mars might very well offer acceptable living conditions for bacteria.

But what about more complex life forms? I have never heard a single astrobiologist suggest that there might be little green men on Mars after all, but in caves underground. No one seems to believe that large complex life forms - as large as earthworms, say - can survive on Mars, or below the Martian surface. What reason do we have to think that large complex life forms can thrive on a planet that has to cosy up very close to its red dwarf star and be subject to that star's strong gravity (strong when you are close to it) and its various outbursts?

Ann

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by rstevenson » Mon Apr 30, 2012 1:39 am

Chris Peterson wrote: ... The bottom line is that while we're on somewhat firm ground suggesting that life is common, we really don't have enough information to make any predictions at all about highly intelligent life.
For the likelihood of intelligence we may have at least one other data point to think about. Right here on planet Earth a form of life existed on land in a wide array of sizes, shapes and abilities for a period of about 135 million years. Yet, so far as we know, they never developed intelligence beyond that needed for survival. (Or at least they left no evidence of their intelligence which could survive the intervening 65 million years. I wonder if anything we've done would survive that long.) But humanity developed from small mammals to Moon walkers in half that time. I can draw no conclusions from that, but it's interesting to think about.

Rob

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Chris Peterson » Mon Apr 30, 2012 12:42 am

gdreiber wrote:1. Evolution is random mutations on random organisms in random environments.
2. Human scientist equate brain to body mass ratio and an animals train-ability to intelligence; thus dolphins and apes get high marks for intelligence. The chance that an organism will randomly evolve to into roughly a Humanoid intelligence on another planet: Zero.
3. The ability to recognize, understand and communicate with an alien intelligence, maybe the plus side of zero but not much.
You could as easily say that human-like intelligence is inevitable. Certainly, one path that is consistently seen in evolution is a trend towards larger, more effective brains. That's a survival trait, especially amongst predators.

The bottom line is that while we're on somewhat firm ground suggesting that life is common, we really don't have enough information to make any predictions at all about highly intelligent life.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Mactavish » Mon Apr 30, 2012 12:12 am

Ann wrote:I can't put it better than I did in my example with the tub filled with a hundred bottles of soft drinks. Eighty of the bottles are Coke and four are Root Beer. I think that if you reach into the tub when blindfolded and happen to pick one of the bottles of Root Beer, then you really have beaten the odds. You would be so much more likely to pick a bottle of Coke.

Ann
Nonsense. The reason you would pick a Coke is simply because 'Things go better with Coke!'

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by gdreiber » Sun Apr 29, 2012 6:23 pm

1. Evolution is random mutations on random organisms in random environments.
2. Human scientist equate brain to body mass ratio and an animals train-ability to intelligence; thus dolphins and apes get high marks for intelligence. The chance that an organism will randomly evolve to into roughly a Humanoid intelligence on another planet: Zero.
3. The ability to recognize, understand and communicate with an alien intelligence, maybe the plus side of zero but not much.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by nstahl » Sun Apr 29, 2012 5:53 pm

Ann wrote:... If M-type red dwarfs are equally good hosts for life as G-type stars like the Sun, then we have indeed beaten the odds by being in orbit around a G-type stars like the Sun instead of an M-type red dwarf like Gliese 876. I think it is just too improbable that an unusual star like the Sun would be our star, instead of a "dime a dozen" star like Gliese 876, if both are equally good hosts for life. ...
That's not at all how I see it. Life clearly developed here, and if you rule out panspermia and seeding by aliens, life arose here. Since it happened here I have no problem imagining it's happened in a lot of similar situations. We don't know enough about conditions in which life can arise and exist to say whether it can happen on red dwarf planets or not, but if it can then surely there are scads of red dwarf planets with life. And in no way does life existing here rule out life existing around a red dwarf; in fact I see no way in which life existing here could impact the probability of life existing around a red dwarf. They are independent events, at least for practical purposes.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Eduk8tr » Sun Apr 29, 2012 3:12 pm

bystander wrote:
Eduk8tr wrote:Just curious as to why this image is the same that was posted back on May 21, 2008. Thanks.
See the APOD FAQ.
Thanks.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Guest » Sun Apr 29, 2012 2:37 pm

[quote="Ann"]I can't put it better than I did in my example with the tub filled with a hundred bottles of soft drinks. Eighty of the bottles are Coke and four are Root Beer. I think that if you reach into the tub when blindfolded and happen to pick one of the bottles of Root Beer, then you really have beaten the odds. You would be so much more likely to pick a bottle of Coke.

Incredibly interesting discussion and speculation however, isn't this a case of the act of observing changing the equation? Since the bottles have different shapes, the person grabbing the drinks could cheat. The grabber could also change their mind and switch bottles before retracting it.
That changes the odds. Once the grabber makes a selection, whatever bottle they hold is now at 100 percent chance of being selected. It is not so much beating the odds as playing with odds.
Also if you figured the odds of the Universe(s) spontaneously existing is incredibly low until you realize that since it does exist the odds are 100 percent that the Universe(s) would spontaneously come about.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by bystander » Sun Apr 29, 2012 2:21 pm

Eduk8tr wrote:Just curious as to why this image is the same that was posted back on May 21, 2008. Thanks.
See the APOD FAQ.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Chris Peterson » Sun Apr 29, 2012 2:20 pm

luigi wrote:I think that if life were possible in red dwarves systems then life would be so common in the Milky Way that it would had been be very hard to avoid being visited, contacted or radioed by another civilization.
"Life" implies neither civilization nor technology. There has been life on Earth for around 80% of its existence. Life formed here, and continues to exist here, under conditions that are readily found outside so-called "habitable zones", and under conditions we would generally consider pretty hostile to life as we know it. There is some experimental evidence (far from conclusive, of course) that life develops easily. We know that the chemicals are ubiquitous in the Universe. So it's perfectly reasonable to think that the majority of planets far enough from their stars to have some cool areas also have life on them.

All we know about life is that it evolves. We know very little about how high intelligence evolves, because it has only happened once, in response to uncertain evolutionary forces, and with an unknown element of chance involved. There's a good argument to be made that technological intelligence is a dead end, and is inevitably short lived. But even if it's not, and most life ultimately evolves in that direction, we'd still expect (given the time statistics on Earth) only a tiny fraction of planets would host technological civilizations. And no matter how advanced, they're still subject to the laws of physics, which means they're largely confined to their own planetary system, or at most a tiny zone of stars around it. So there's really no reason we would expect to be aware of them.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by eltodesukane » Sun Apr 29, 2012 2:19 pm

Even though earth is 4500 millions years old, and earth life is almost as old, there have been humans for only (at most) 10 millions years.
This shows that evolution of advanced intelligent life from primitive microorganisms is not a quick straightforward process.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Eduk8tr » Sun Apr 29, 2012 2:15 pm

Hi All,

Just curious as to why this image is the same that was posted back on May 21, 2008. Thanks.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by eltodesukane » Sun Apr 29, 2012 2:11 pm

ritwik wrote:there could be life forms inside a star itself !!few people know the fact that micro organisms thrive inside molten lava !:!: there could be garguantuan living things flying through interstellar space nesting between star clusters :idea: even if there's nothing like that it would be more astounding :shock:
"micro organisms thrive inside molten lava" No.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Chris Peterson » Sun Apr 29, 2012 2:04 pm

Ann wrote:That's my point. If M-type red dwarfs are equally good hosts for life as G-type stars like the Sun, then we have indeed beaten the odds by being in orbit around a G-type stars like the Sun instead of an M-type red dwarf like Gliese 876. I think it is just too improbable that an unusual star like the Sun would be our star, instead of a "dime a dozen" star like Gliese 876, if both are equally good hosts for life.
This is just a restatement of the anthropic principle, and represents a logical fallacy in this context.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by ritwik » Sun Apr 29, 2012 1:59 pm

there could be life forms inside a star itself !!few people know the fact that micro organisms thrive inside molten lava !:!: there could be garguantuan living things flying through interstellar space nesting between star clusters :idea: even if there's nothing like that it would be more astounding :shock:

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by luigi » Sun Apr 29, 2012 1:50 pm

Nice APOD, to think about on a Sunday morning :D

I think that if life were possible in red dwarves systems then life would be so common in the Milky Way that it would had been be very hard to avoid being visited, contacted or radioed by another civilization.
The fact that we are still alone makes me think that either life can't evolve around a red dwarf at all or if it can then intelligent life is far more uncommon that what we think.

The illustration is fantastic.

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by Ann » Sun Apr 29, 2012 1:44 pm

I can't put it better than I did in my example with the tub filled with a hundred bottles of soft drinks. Eighty of the bottles are Coke and four are Root Beer. I think that if you reach into the tub when blindfolded and happen to pick one of the bottles of Root Beer, then you really have beaten the odds. You would be so much more likely to pick a bottle of Coke.

If M-type red dwarf stars are, on average, equally good hosts for life-bearing planets as G-type main sequence stars like the Sun, then it is pretty remarkable that our Sun is a G-type main sequence star and not an M-type red dwarf. Or, to put it differently, then it is pretty remarkable that we "happened to pick" a G-type star to orbit, when there are so many more "equally suitable" M-type red dwarfs out there.

On the other hand, if M-type red dwarf stars are generally poorer hosts for life-bearing planets than G-type main sequence stars, then it may be no coincidence at all that our Sun is the way it is. We could be here, in orbit around the Sun, because we - and beings broadly similar to us - could not possibly survive on a planet like Gliese 876d.

I need to stress, once again, that we should define what kind of life we are talking about when we discuss "life". Can we accept the idea that simple bacteria-like life forms might form quickly and easily, but that only a miniscule fraction of them will ever evolve into higher life forms? Or do we postulate the idea that at least 10% of planets with bacteria-like life forms will see the ascent of complex life? It could be that M-type red dwarf stars are equally good hosts for bacterial life as G-type main sequence stars. But what about life forms broadly similar to ourselves? Are we here, in orbit around the Sun, because the Sun is massive enough to have its habitable zone sufficiently far away from itself that the Earth has not become tidally locked in its orbit around the Sun, so that we can enjoy clement conditions here on Earth? Could beings similar to ourselves evolve on a planet like Gliese 876d?

I find the thought improbable. But like you said, Rob, of course I can't know.

Ann

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by rstevenson » Sun Apr 29, 2012 12:12 pm

Ann wrote:... If M-type red dwarfs are equally good hosts for life as G-type stars like the Sun, then we have indeed beaten the odds by being in orbit around a G-type stars like the Sun instead of an M-type red dwarf like Gliese 876. I think it is just too improbable that an unusual star like the Sun would be our star, instead of a "dime a dozen" star like Gliese 876, if both are equally good hosts for life. ...
I'm not sure your logic is correct here. We haven't "beaten the odds" by being here. On the contrary, the odds were stacked in our favour or we wouldn't be here to talk about it. Think of it this way... if you buy a ticket in a lottery where the odds against winning are 13 million to one, and you win, you haven't beaten the odds -- though most people would put it that way. In fact your ticket was the winning ticket when you bought it. The odds of that ticket winning were 100%. (Now if only I could figure out which ticket had those odds and buy it... .)

Or imagine this... there is another technical civilization elsewhere in the Milky Way, and in that civilization there is a forum in which people are discussing the likelihood of life evolving around stars other than red dwarf stars like their own. If they don't know about us or any other such civilization orbiting a G-type star, then they may asign a very low probability to our existence simply because G-type stars are so "unusual." Nevertheless, we exist.

Your conclusion above is weighted with words such as "improbable" and "unusual", but our Sun is not unusual in being a G type star, it is a G-type star. It's just that there are relatively few of them in the Milky Way, and that says nothing about how probable or improbable it is that it is our star.

There's simply no way to argue the case for the probability of life arising on other planets around other stars given our current state of knowledge. We only have a data set of one, and in that data set it is 100% probable that life would arise around this G-type star on this rocky planet. To draw any more of a conclusion than that, we'll have to wait for more data sets. (But the Drake equation is fun to play with.)

Rob

Re: APOD: A Dangerous Sunrise on Gliese 876d (2012 Apr 29)

by owlice » Sun Apr 29, 2012 11:43 am

Please use PM/another means for any discussion of religion; thanks.

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