ESA: Gaia Clocks New Speeds for Milky Way-Andromeda Collision

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ESA: Gaia Clocks New Speeds for Milky Way-Andromeda Collision

Post by bystander » Fri Feb 08, 2019 4:53 pm

Gaia Clocks New Speeds for Milky Way-Andromeda Collision
ESA | Space Science | Science & Technology | Gaia | 2019 Feb 07
ESA's Gaia satellite has looked beyond our Galaxy and explored two nearby galaxies to reveal the stellar motions within them and how they will one day interact and collide with the Milky Way – with surprising results.

Our Milky Way belongs to a large gathering of galaxies known as the Local Group and, along with the Andromeda and Triangulum galaxies – also referred to as M31 and M33, respectively – makes up the majority of the group’s mass.

Astronomers have long suspected that Andromeda will one day collide with the Milky Way, completely reshaping our cosmic neighbourhood. However, the three-dimensional movements of the Local Group galaxies remained unclear, painting an uncertain picture of the Milky Way’s future. ...

Gaia is currently building the most precise 3D map of the stars in the nearby Universe, and is releasing its data in stages. The data from the second release, made in April 2018, was used in this research.

Previous studies of the Local Group have combined observations from telescopes including the NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope and the ground-based Very Long Baseline Array to figure out how the orbits of Andromeda and Triangulum have changed over time. The two disc-shaped spiral galaxies are located between 2.5 and 3 million light-years from us, and are close enough to one another that they may be interacting.

Two possibilities emerged: either Triangulum is on an incredibly long six-billion-year orbit around Andromeda but has already fallen into it in the past, or it is currently on its very first infall. Each scenario reflects a different orbital path, and thus a different formation history and future for each galaxy. ...

By combining existing observations with the new data release from Gaia, the researchers determined how Andromeda and Triangulum are each moving across the sky, and calculated the orbital path for each galaxy both backwards and forwards in time for billions of years. ...

First Gaia Dynamics of the Andromeda System: DR2 Proper Motions,
Orbits, and Rotation of M31 and M33
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Re: ESA: Gaia Clocks New Speeds for Milky Way-Andromeda Collision

Post by Ann » Fri Feb 08, 2019 5:16 pm

So thanks to Gaia, we can conclude that M33 is on its first infall into Andromeda, and the Milky Way and Andromeda won't collide in 3.9 billion years' time, but in 4.5 billion, and then it will be a glancing blow rather than a head-on collision.

I love Gaia!

P.S. It is a little bit of a pity that we don't get to see M33 fall into Andromeda. That should cause some serious fireworks at a close but safe distance!

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